There is a bit of irony in the fact that this humble weather blog will be talking about a snow storm on this, its 4th birthday. Yes, I can have my cake and eat it, too!
It was on this date in 2018 that this blog issued its first post, all in good fun, because dozens of people always asked me about the weather.
Even now, after 1558 posts over 1461 consecutive days, people still ask me.
Maybe I really don’t need to publish a blog anymore…or maybe people just want to hear about the weather without having to trudge through all of the other stuff I write.
Assuming that it may well be the latter, here is the forecast. The Winter Storm Warning issued by the NWS is in place from 7 PM tonight until 7 PM on Saturday.
A Blizzard Warning has been issued for Wicomico County, Worcester County in Maryland and Accomack County in Virginia.
#Blizzard Warning has been issued for the #Maryland Atlantic coast & #Virginia Eastern Shore. These areas will see a combination of high winds & heavy #snow tonight & Saturday morning. #WinterStorm Warning's in effect for areas along the Chesapeake Bay to the Outer Banks. pic.twitter.com/smMJBsG6Z2
— NWS Wakefield (@NWSWakefieldVA) January 28, 2022
- There will be clouds and calm winds today with a high temp near 44 degrees.
- Snow will develop near sunset, perhaps beginning as a period of mixed precipitation.
- Snow will fall steadily overnight into Saturday morning with temperatures dropping into the 20’s.
- An average of 6 inches of snow should be on the ground by sunrise.
- Strong winds should pick up in the late morning with blowing and drifting snow. Winds could gust over 40 mph.
- Some may experience blizzard conditions.
- Snow showers are likely to continue into the afternoon hours as the strong winds continue to reduce visibility.
- People and property in coastal areas will be in danger as the winds will coincide with an astronomical high tide.
- The snow will end sometime in the afternoon with accumulations ranging between 6 and 12 inches across Delmarva. The higher snow totals will be from Salisbury east to Ocean City. Residents in those area should expect a foot or perhaps more of snow.
- Even when the snow ends the winds will continue to howl. You should stay home.
- Low temperatures on Saturday night will reach the low teens, possibly making it the coldest night of the year.
As of early this morning all of the weather models are finally agreeing that the storm will be one to remember for many along the coast. Notice that the NAM model, shown here, combines information from the global models and places them into a forecast for the immediate 60 hour future. It looks like a bomb went off by late afternoon tomorrow.
Remember that there is no human or human created model that can predict with 100% certainty what Mother Nature will do with a nor’easter that is spinning its way up the East Coast. I hope she doesn’t plan to ruin this blog’s 4th birthday celebration…because every 4 year old likes to play in the snow!
Guidance has come around much better even with spread in the totals. Apparantly @MikeTrout had an influence on the GFS w/his tweet. BLIZZARD WARNINGS almost continuous from the Chesapeake Bay up to coastal Maine. Eastern LI could easily come around. Stay home Saturday & enjoy! pic.twitter.com/pQ9DyoG0i6
— Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) January 28, 2022