Salisbury MD

What is a spaghetti model?

I know, you thought a spaghetti model was one of the Olson twins!

Today, being National Spaghetti Day, seems like a good time to talk about the so-called spaghetti model in hurricane forecasting.  It is nothing more than a compilation of several different mathematical models that are attempting to project the future path of a tropical cyclone.  The illustration resembles strings of spaghetti plastered on a map and sometimes gives people reason to poke fun at weather forecasters.

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The spaghetti model, however, does give meteorologists an opportunity, since no one model is 100% correct, to fine tune their forecasts that they can present to the public.  This leads to the development of the “cone” of uncertainty that many of us look at in trying to determine a storm’s path five days out.  The “cone” will be the topic of conversation on another day.

We will not be dealing with any sort of tropical weather today, although we will continue to experience unusually warm January weather.  Today will also bless us with more opportunities for showers before Sunday brings us more seasonable conditions; sunshine and breezy with temps in the mid 40’s.

I know the Olive Garden will be busy today. That’s why my wife and I went last night!



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